Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000881 0.000946 0.001014 0.001092 0.001178 0.001271 0.001380
2025-12-21 0.000773 0.000859 0.000954 0.001067 0.001200 0.001353 0.001542
2025-12-28 0.000680 0.000772 0.000877 0.001007 0.001166 0.001355 0.001600
2026-01-04 0.000619 0.000715 0.000827 0.000970 0.001149 0.001370 0.001669
2026-01-11 0.000581 0.000681 0.000800 0.000956 0.001157 0.001414 0.001773
2026-01-18 0.000552 0.000656 0.000783 0.000951 0.001175 0.001468 0.001893
2026-01-25 0.000599 0.000726 0.000887 0.001109 0.001416 0.001839 0.002492
2026-02-01 0.000559 0.000684 0.000844 0.001068 0.001384 0.001829 0.002536
2026-02-08 0.000528 0.000652 0.000811 0.001039 0.001365 0.001835 0.002602
2026-02-15 0.000506 0.000630 0.000792 0.001026 0.001368 0.001872 0.002720
2026-02-22 0.000481 0.000603 0.000764 0.001000 0.001350 0.001876 0.002782
2026-03-01 0.000457 0.000577 0.000736 0.000972 0.001327 0.001869 0.002825
2026-03-08 0.000437 0.000557 0.000718 0.000961 0.001335 0.001920 0.002992
2026-03-15 0.000415 0.000533 0.000694 0.000941 0.001327 0.001947 0.003120
2026-03-22 0.000386 0.000498 0.000652 0.000890 0.001268 0.001883 0.003074
2026-03-29 0.000364 0.000473 0.000624 0.000859 0.001236 0.001863 0.003106
2026-04-05 0.000351 0.000458 0.000609 0.000847 0.001236 0.001898 0.003250
2026-04-12 0.000340 0.000447 0.000600 0.000843 0.001248 0.001953 0.003445
2026-04-19 0.000366 0.000491 0.000673 0.000976 0.001504 0.002487 0.004786
2026-04-26 0.000348 0.000469 0.000646 0.000942 0.001464 0.002451 0.004811
2026-05-03 0.000334 0.000451 0.000624 0.000917 0.001440 0.002442 0.004904
2026-05-10 0.000323 0.000439 0.000612 0.000906 0.001439 0.002483 0.005128
2026-05-17 0.000311 0.000424 0.000593 0.000884 0.001418 0.002477 0.005230